Chicago Atlantic Real Stock Performance

REFI Stock  USD 12.10  0.01  0.08%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.74, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chicago Atlantic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chicago Atlantic is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Chicago Atlantic Real has a negative expected return of -0.0261%. Please make sure to confirm Chicago Atlantic's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Chicago Atlantic Real performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Chicago Atlantic Real has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Chicago Atlantic is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.0827
Five Day Return
(2.81)
Year To Date Return
(1.31)
Ten Year Return
(26.62)
All Time Return
(26.62)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1554
Payout Ratio
1.4462
Forward Dividend Rate
1.88
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Declares Common Stock Dividend of 0.47 for the Fourth Quarter of 2025
12/19/2025
2
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance To Go Ex-Dividend On December 31st, 2025 With 0.47 USD Dividend Per Share -
12/30/2025
3
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Raised to Hold at Zacks Research - MarketBeat
01/07/2026
 
Chicago Atlantic dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
4
Discretionary transaction by Steiner Michael L. of tradable shares of Chicago Atlantic subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
5
Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-39.3 M
Free Cash Flow23.2 M

Chicago Atlantic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,237  in Chicago Atlantic Real on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (27.00) from holding Chicago Atlantic Real or give up 2.18% of portfolio value over 90 days. Chicago Atlantic Real is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.4308% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Chicago, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chicago Atlantic is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Chicago Atlantic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Chicago Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.10 90 days 12.10 
about 83.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chicago Atlantic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.06 (This Chicago Atlantic Real probability density function shows the probability of Chicago Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chicago Atlantic has a beta of 0.74 indicating as returns on the market go up, Chicago Atlantic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chicago Atlantic Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chicago Atlantic Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chicago Atlantic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chicago Atlantic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chicago Atlantic Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6712.1013.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8914.5615.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3711.8013.23
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4116.9418.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chicago Atlantic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chicago Atlantic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chicago Atlantic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chicago Atlantic Real.

Chicago Atlantic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chicago Atlantic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chicago Atlantic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chicago Atlantic Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chicago Atlantic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.74
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Chicago Atlantic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chicago Atlantic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chicago Atlantic Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chicago Atlantic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chicago Atlantic has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of January 2026 Chicago Atlantic paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily

Chicago Atlantic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chicago Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chicago Atlantic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chicago Atlantic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.4 M

Chicago Atlantic Fundamentals Growth

Chicago Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Chicago Atlantic, and Chicago Atlantic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Chicago Stock performance.

About Chicago Atlantic Performance

By evaluating Chicago Atlantic's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Chicago Atlantic's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Chicago Atlantic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Chicago Atlantic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.09 

Things to note about Chicago Atlantic Real performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chicago Atlantic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Chicago Atlantic Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chicago Atlantic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chicago Atlantic has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of January 2026 Chicago Atlantic paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Chicago Atlantic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Chicago Atlantic's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Chicago Atlantic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Chicago Atlantic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Chicago Atlantic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Chicago Atlantic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Chicago Atlantic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Chicago Atlantic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Chicago Atlantic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Chicago Atlantic's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Chicago Atlantic's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Chicago Atlantic's price analysis, check to measure Chicago Atlantic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chicago Atlantic is operating at the current time. Most of Chicago Atlantic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chicago Atlantic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chicago Atlantic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chicago Atlantic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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